Eva Guerrero Alvarez vs Lea Nilsson Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Lea Nilsson has a slightly lower win rate on their second serve compared to Eva Guerrero Alvarez, with figures of 37.80% and 41.44% respectively. How crucial is this in determining match outcomes? It generally correlates highly with success.
• Considering return games, Nilsson performs better, winning 55.75% of second serve return points, while Guerrero Alvarez wins 50.54%.
• When facing the first serve return, Nilsson has an advantage over Guerrero Alvarez, standing at 35.04% versus 32.75%.
• Under pressure, Guerrero Alvarez excels by saving 48.39% of breakpoints compared to Nilsson’s 30.51%.
• Guerrero Alvarez has a higher overall match win rate of 71.43% over the past year compared to Nilsson's 66.67%.
• Both players excel in indoor hard court conditions, each having a career win rate of 70% on that surface.
• In the last 12 months, Nilsson competes primarily in lower-tier tournaments, winning 75% of their matches. Guerrero Alvarez plays at the same level but with a 66.07% win rate.
• Nilsson faces slightly higher-ranked opponents on average, with an average opponent rank of 439.43 to Guerrero Alvarez's 446.26.
• In deciding sets, Guerrero Alvarez has a slight edge, winning 62% compared to Nilsson's 57%.
• Nilsson converts 41.82% of break points, which is notably higher than Guerrero Alvarez’s 32.76% conversion rate.

Editorial Prediction (November 15, 2025, UTC):

As we evaluate Lea Nilsson and Eva Guerrero Alvarez, certain areas give each player their own edge. Guerrero Alvarez’s proficiency in match win percentage and breakpoint saving under pressure suggests a player who manages key moments effectively.

Conversely, Nilsson shows strength in return games and breakpoint conversion, areas which could sway the match in tightly contested points. Both players show strong preferences on indoor hard surfaces, suggesting an evenly matched struggle in such conditions.

Overall, despite Nilsson’s superior returning game, Guerrero Alvarez's consistent overall performance and breakpoint resilience might just tip the balance in their favor.

Taking all factors into account, Eva Guerrero Alvarez appears to be the likely winner of this upcoming match.